This Article is From Feb 24, 2016

Oscars 2016: Who Will Win, Should Win And Should Have Been Nominated

Oscars 2016: Who Will Win, Should Win And Should Have Been Nominated

Leonardo DiCaprio has been nominated in Best Actor category for The Revenant.

Los Angeles: Washington Post movie critics Ann Hornaday, Michael O'Sullivan and Stephanie Merry picked the movies they think will win, should win and should have been nominated in the major categories:

BEST PICTURE

Nominees:
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight

Will win:
Ann Hornaday: Spotlight
Michael O'Sullivan: Spotlight
Stephanie Merry: The Revenant

Should win:
A.H.: Spotlight
M.O.: The Big Short
S.M.: Spotlight

Should have been nominated:
A.H.: Carol
M.O.: Love and Mercy
S.M.: Inside Out

The Academy can nominate up to 10 films, and this year, it went with eight, including some more popular entries, such as The Martian and Mad Max: Fury Road. Experts see this as a three-way race among Spotlight, The Big Short and The Revenant, with The Revenant the slight favorite at the prediction site HSX.com. (Also Read: Now, There Are New Rules for Acceptance Speeches at Oscars)

BEST DIRECTOR

Nominees:
Lenny Abrahamson, Room
Alejandro Inarritu, The Revenant
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
Adam McKay, The Big Short
George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road

Will win:
A.H.: George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
M.O.: Alejandro G. Inarritu, The Revenant
S.M.: Alejandro G. Inarritu, The Revenant

Should win:
A.H.: Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
M.O.: Alejandro G. Inarritu, The Revenant
S.M.: Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

Should have been nominated:
A.H.: Todd Haynes, Carol
M.O.: Justin Kurzel, Macbeth
S.M.: Sean Baker, Tangerine

These directors run the gamut in their tacks, from the extreme sport of an Inarritu film to the more understated approach of McCarthy on Spotlight. The most surprising omission is Ridley Scott, director of The Martian, who has been nominated multiple times but never won. Inarritu, after last year's win for Birdman, has a good shot at becoming the first director to win consecutively since Joseph L. Mankiewicz won for A Letter to Three Wives and All About Eve in 1950 and 1951.

BEST ACTRESS

Nominees:
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Will win:
A.H.: Brie Larson, Room
M.O.: Brie Larson, Room
S.M.: Brie Larson, Room

Should win:
A.H.: Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
M.O.: Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
S.M.: Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Should have been nominated:
A.H.: Teyonah Parris, Chi-Raq
M.O.: Bel Powley, The Diary of a Teenage Girl
S.M.: Sarah Silverman, I Smile Back

The nominees were mostly predictable, though a mild surprise was Rampling, who didn't get a Golden Globe nomination. Larson won the Golden Globe and the Screen Actors Guild prizes and is the clear front-runner.

BEST ACTOR

Nominees:
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
Matt Damon, The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Will win:
A.H.: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
M.O.: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
S.M.: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant

Should win:
A.H.: Matt Damon, The Martian
M.O.: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
S.M.: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant

Should have been nominated:
A.H.: Paul Dano, Love and Mercy
M.O.: Abraham Attah, Beasts of No Nation
S.M.: Michael B. Jordan, Creed

The only name on this list that really matters is Leonardo DiCaprio. Barring some unthinkable fraud (What if he secretly shot the whole movie on a soundstage? Maybe that bison liver was a strawberry jam-covered mushroom?), he has this category locked down.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Nominees:
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara, Carol
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Will win:
A.H.: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
M.O.: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
S.M.: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

Should win:
A.H.: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
M.O.: Rooney Mara, Carol
S.M.: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

Should have been nominated:
A.H.: Tessa Thompson, Creed M.O.: Mya Taylor, Tangerine
S.M.: Charlize Theron, Mad Max: Fury Road

Vikander burst onto the scene this year with a handful of much-discussed performances in buzzy movies. It wasn't clear whether she would land on the list for Ex Machina or The Danish Girl, as the latter role could have been seen as a leading performance. She's the favorite, while Winslet, who won the Golden Globe, is the potential upset.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Nominees:
Christian Bale, The Big Short
Tom Hardy, The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone, Creed

Will win:
A.H.: Sylvester Stallone, Creed
M.O.: Sylvester Stallone, Creed
S.M.: Sylvester Stallone, Creed

Should win:
A.H.: Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
M.O.: Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
S.M.: Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies

Should have been nominated:
A.H.: Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation
M.O.: Sam Elliott, Grandma
S.M.: Benicio del Toro, Sicario

Stallone, a Globe winner, is the overwhelming favorite for his emotional return to the character of Rocky Balboa, while Rylance and Bale would be the potential spoilers. The biggest surprise of the lot is Tom Hardy, who took the place of some other strong candidates, including Elba, and Michael Shannon for 99 Homes. (Also Read: Sylvester Stallone Wanted to Boycott Oscars. Ryan Coogler Stopped Him)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Nominees:
Bridge of Spies
Ex Machina
Inside Out
Spotlight
Straight Outta Compton

Will win:
A.H.: Spotlight
M.O.: Spotlight
S.M.: Spotlight

Should win:
A.H.: Spotlight
M.O.: Ex Machina
S.M.: Spotlight

Should have been nominated:
A.H.: Love and Mercy
M.O.: While We're Young
S.M.: Clouds of Sils Maria

This is an eclectic category, with the animated Inside Out alongside the science fiction of Ex Machina and the true story of Spotlight, which won the Writers Guild Award. It's also the only nomination for the N.W.A biopic Straight Outta Compton.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Nominees:
The Big Short
Brooklyn
Carol
The Martian
Room

Will win:
A.H.: The Big Short
M.O.: Brooklyn
S.M.: The Big Short

Should win:
A.H.: Room
M.O.: The Big Short
S.M.: The Martian

Should have been nominated:
A.H.: Steve Jobs
M.O.: The Diary of a Teenage Girl
S.M.: The Diary of a Teenage Girl

Aaron Sorkin took home the Golden Globe for Steve Jobs, but the Academy didn't dig his "impressionistic" take on the Apple founder's life. Instead, the favorites are Charles Randolph and Adam McKay, who won a Writers Guild Award for their script, which used a bathing Margot Robbie to explain the financial crisis in The Big Short, an adaptation of Michael Lewis's book.

© 2016 The Washington Post

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